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We love giving back to the community. Here you'll find talk notes, field guides, interactive experiments, videos, Excel workbooks and more.

Resources

Interactive · PDF

Analytical thinking, data bias and decision-making

Six ideas, one thread: judgement. Models as arguments, data into decisions, forecasting without history, the analytics ladder, bias and scepticism, with five live experiments to try.

PDF · Excel workbook

Monte Carlo for finance: modelling the unknowable

Forecasting with confidence when the future refuses to sit still.

Interactive · Excel workbook

Play the dice: where a shape comes from

Two dice, one roll, then ten thousand. Watch a distribution appear from nothing but repetition, then download the workbook that does the same in Excel.

Primer

The shape of uncertainty: a distributions primer

Mean, median and mode; spread, skew and fat tails; the four shapes worth knowing by name. The foundation every simulation is built on.

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